Great lesson in mediation by Swiss diplomat Olivier Long (Algeria negotiations 1961-1962)
aldo 5-10.000, DeepDip Conflict resolution & Mediation, Diplomatic theory and practice, Negotiations BlogsSwiss diplomat Olivier Long played a pivotal role as an intermediary during the Algeria negotiations in 1961-1962. His approach, detailed in a memoir, highlights the importance of neutral facilitation, logistical support, and maintaining the rhythm of negotiations. Long's emphasis on explaining statements, avoiding over-negotiation, and building confidence between parties showcases the key qualities of a successful mediator. Ultimately, Long's ability to fade into the background after enabling a successful negotiation process demonstrates the true mark of his effectiveness as an intermediary.
A ‘Thematic’ EU Parliament – A Novel Institution for Europe (II of 116)
aldo 5-10.000, DeepDipThe text proposes the creation of specialized 'Thematic Parliaments' within the EU to address issues like environment or health. These bodies would be elected in direct Europe-wide elections, fostering trans-national parties and politicians. Thematic Parliaments would lead discussions, propose legislation, and complement existing EU structures. By focusing on specific themes, they aim to foster a transnational political class, enhance democratic processes, and promote substantive outcomes, ultimately strengthening Europe's democratic legitimacy.
Is outcome a good measure of performance?
aldo 5-10.000, DeepDip Diplomatic theory and practice BlogsThe text discusses the debate over whether outcome is a good measure of performance, showcasing different perspectives on this topic. It questions the validity of solely focusing on outcomes, highlighting the importance of considering other factors like effort, creativity, and external influences in evaluating performance. The text emphasizes the necessity of a holistic approach to performance evaluation, acknowledging that while outcomes are significant, they should not be the sole indicator of success.
Predicting – does it pay to develop sophisticated methods?
aldo 5.000-, DeepDip Diplomatic theory and practice BlogsPredicting outcomes, especially in complex systems like sports, shows that even sophisticated methods perform similarly to simple heuristics. The law of diminishing returns applies, suggesting that initial basic information provides significant insight, while further refinement offers minimal improvement. Emphasizing adaptability over refinement in predictive models may yield more productive results. It's crucial to assess predictor performance and focus on adapting to changes rather than assuming past trends will continue unchanged in the future.
Putting planning on its head
aldo 5.000-, DeepDip Diplomatic theory and practice BlogsThe text discusses the concept of planning and the Constructal Law, proposing a shift from traditional top-down planning to focusing on natural designs that facilitate flow. The Constructal Law explains how designs in nature emerge to enhance efficiency and access. It suggests leveraging these natural designs when planning. The coexistence of chaos and design is highlighted, emphasizing the importance of creativity and adaptability in navigating complex systems. The text encourages embracing this interplay for continuous improvement and evolution.
Election as catharsis
aldo 10.000+, DeepDip BlogsThe text discusses the French presidential election and analyzes the process as an "emergent" one, dismissing historical determinism and emphasizing the unpredictability of electoral outcomes. It critiques narratives that attempt to explain voter intent and highlights elections as a cathartic process that marks a break with the past. Additionally, it touches on the role of personalities in politics and predicts a potential outcome for the election. Ultimately, it emphasizes the complexity and flexibility of political contexts.
A long tale of ‘enablers’ (Part II)
aldo 10.000+, DeepDipThe text discusses the impact of enablers, specifically focusing on the historical consequences of horsemanship enabling long-distance warfare, causing societal transformations and conflicts between settled agriculturalists and nomads. It delves into the fear of the "other" represented by nomads, strategies to cope with nomadic threats, and the lasting effects of enablers on societies. The narrative also touches on the concept of morality in politics and the importance of adapting to changes brought about by enablers.
A long tale of ‘enablers’ (Part I)
aldo 10.000+, DeepDipThis blog entry discusses the concept of 'enablers,' focusing on how they drive societal evolution, using horsemanship as an example. It explores the emergence of conflicts between nomadic and agricultural societies and traces the historical development of nomadism through key steps such as domesticating animals and inventing tools. The text also touches on the interaction between nomads and agriculturalists, which often involved trade or raiding. The process of nomadization over 5000 years is highlighted, emphasizing how societies adapt to environmental constraints and human ingenuity.
When in doubt – scare
aldo 5-10.000, DeepDip Diplomatic theory and practice, International relations and diplomacy BlogsThe message conveys a call for the West to collaborate with emerging powers to shape the future global order. The text discusses the limitations of war and emphasizes the importance of economic interdependence in preventing conflicts. It warns against dwelling on past divisions and labels, advocating for a forward-thinking approach based on cooperation and understanding to navigate the complexities of global politics.
Is there a ‘public interest’?
aldo 5-10.000, DeepDip Public policy BlogsThe message reflects on determining the "public interest" through various philosophical perspectives. It discusses the transcendental nature of this concept, contrasting Western and Asian views on authority and truth. It also touches on the synthesis of these worldviews by Adam Smith and the Vienna School, ultimately proposing a more empirical worldview based on consequentialism. This perspective suggests that the public interest is subjective and contingent on the will of the participants, emphasizing the need for modesty and acknowledging the limitations of human perception and understanding.