Malta exemplifies a country whose diplomacy enables it to play a far greater
role in international life than its power and capabilities would suggest. It exemplifies,
in other words, the creative use of diplomacy to exert influence, especially on the
formulation of normative ideas. Malta contributed to the world such inspirational ideas as
the common heritage of mankind, as the foundation for the distribution of ocean wealth. A
plea for respecting the rights of future generations is also associated internationally
with Malta's leadership. Perhaps the most significant of these initiatives is the
pioneering work on the application of information technology to diplomacy that has been
going forward at the Mediterranean Academy of Diplomatic Studies under the leadership of
Jovan Kurbalija.
My university
in the United States has a well-known School of Public and International Affairsthe
Woodrow Wilson Schooland yet it is at least one epoch behind the work being done at
the Mediterranean Academy on the organic relevance of information technology to the
conduct of effective and informed diplomacy. Princeton has no one on its faculty that even
approaches Jovan Kurbalija in terms of commitment and insight into the potentialities and
relevance of IT. So in a genuine sense, Malta is making a very significant contribution to
the enormous challenges of adaptation that are hidden beneath this banner idea that we are
all now living in an era of globalisation. In these remarks I will try to give some
historical context for what this adaptation is likely to mean for diplomacy.
I think it is
fair to say that diplomacy and diplomats are embedded in a world of sovereign territorial
states, probably to a greater extent than any other single profession. What we call
diplomacy is primarily an invention of the state system. The ritual and formality of
diplomacy expresses the central idea that representatives of geographically separated
territorial, political entities, were needed to maintain contact among these political
communities. Over the decades and centuries, many changes in transportation and
communication have frequently altered the traditional nature of diplomacy, especially
diminishing the relevance of distance. Yet nothing comparable to computer-driven IT has
previously arisen. Nothing previously produced such a potentially transformative impact on
the nature of diplomacy, even upon what we mean by diplomacy, and upon the very identity
of diplomats. These fundamental questionswhat is diplomacy?are necessarily
being raised anew during the dawn of globalization. Such questions arise, above all,
because it is everywhere evident that we are no longer living in a world that can be
adequately defined in terms of territorial sovereign units that are spatial in character.
The global maps that educate us about the world convey only one dimension of
globalisation. Among many other shortcomings, these maps fail to take account of the
degree to which we are now living in temporal communities as well as spatial communities.
In other words, the pace of change has become so rapid that we are constantly trying to
identify links to the past and future that will enable us to interpret successfully the
kind of world we are inhabiting and the problems that it presents.
And it is this
challenge posed to diplomacy that seems to me to be best contextualised by referring to
our time period as the "cyber-age"; by using such a phraseology, thereby
recognising the centrality of IT and the connected hardware/software features of this
technology that is generating, without any deliberate plan, a new world order. It is a new
world order that cannot be understood just by reference to these technological
potentialities. There is an interesting statement that was recently made by the managing
director of the World Economic Forum, Claude Smadga, just prior to the annual meeting at
Davos. Mr. Smadga said "governments will be judged more and more on their ability to
address the social repercussions of the globalisation process and finding ways to balance
its destabilising impact." In other words, the technological miracle that is embedded
in information technology needs to be connected with these fundamental challenges of a
more ethnical and social character. How can we be sure in this process of transition that
is going on in the world that this new technology is genuinely being devoted to making
this world a better place for the peoples living on the planet who are the ultimate
justification of politics and particularly democratic politics?
It seems useful
to clarify somewhat what we mean by the domain of knowledge in relation to diplomacy, and
with respect to interpreting the world. I think it is helpful to conceive of the knowledge
that we are concerned about as "valuable information". Such an emphasis is
intended to distinguish the focus of inquiry from the kind of unspecified, massive
overload of information that has become accessible to us through information technology.
In other words, one of the challenges in this age is to convert information into
knowledge. Or putting the same idea somewhat differently, how do we gain efficient access
to valuable information? This kind of distinction between knowledge and information, which
I think is very important, also should be contrasted with what one might call wisdom,
which can be defined as knowledge that is devoted to the goals of human well-being, and
includes in that sense, as core concerns, matters of values, ethics, human rights and the
religious foundations of our identity.
I think the
preliminary challenge that we face at this point in history is how to convert information
technology into "knowledge technology". The even deeper, related challenge is
how to convert "knowledge technology" into "wisdom technology", moving
from KT to WT.
I think that
among the things being done creatively here in Malta is to address one important dimension
of this challenge, that is, to devote the main effort of training diplomats to ensure that
those from the global south have an adequate access to this technology.
A concealed
danger associated with this rapid acquisition of a revolutionary new technology is to
create a new antagonistic class structure in the world. Part of the necessary implication
of IT is that it almost inevitably exploits those that don't have the appropriate computer
literacy to take advantage of this technology. Without appropriate literature whole parts
of the world are left further and further behind in this phase of history. There is an
exclusionary element to it that needs to be acknowledged.
The collapse of
the Soviet Union might be interpreted partly by its failure to master reliance on IT. It
is plausible to interpret the immense historical transition that we are experiencing by
reference to two underlying developments in this eraIT and the end of the cold war.
I would contend
that these two seemingly disparate developments are really quite closely
interrelatedthe end of the cold war was partly and I think necessarily occasioned by
the inability of the rigid state structures of the Soviet Union to adapt to the economic
opportunities and challenges of the information age. The Soviet Union was unwilling to
expose itself to these new technologies. The rigidity of their system contributed to their
collapse.
It is a lesson
that China, interestingly, has partially learned. This revolutionary technological cluster
of developments has already transformed the politics of the world. It condemns those parts
of international society that cannot cope with information technology to a marginalised
status. Those parts of even the most modern sectors of world society in the richest
countries that cannot cope are also being denied the benefits of economic growth. I am
praising the Mediterranean Academy for this attempt to build a bridge between these
innovative technologies and the struggles of the global south to participate positively in
this emerging new world order.
I wanted to
frame some of my remarks by reference to a quotation taken from Manual Castells, who is
the author of a three volume study called The Information Age: Economy, Society and
Culture. This work of scholarship has had a big influence. It is referred to as
"the bible of Silicon Valley". Castells has made the most comprehensive effort
to grasp and evaluate the multi-dimensional changes and trends associated with IT. His
overall assessment of the revolutionary impact of IT is expressed in the following words:
In the last
quarter of this fading century a technological revolution, centred around information, has
transformed the way we think, we produce, we consume, we trade, we manage, we communicate,
we live, we die, we make war, and we make love. A dynamic global economy has been
constituted around the planet linking up valuable people and activities all around the
world while switching off from the network of power and wealth people and territories
dubbed as irrelevant from the perspective of dominant interests: a fundamental
transformation of the macro-political and macro-social contexts that shape and condition
social actors and experiences around the world.
In a sense,
what Castells and others are really telling us is that we are in this transition from a
familiar world to one in which our whole experience, our basis, is being reconstituted.
Another recent
book by Ray Kurzweil, a computer specialist, entitled The Age of Spiritual Machines,
has suggested that we are approaching a dramatic evolutionary frontier in which machines
are increasingly able to exceed human capabilities. You probably are familiar with the IBM
machine Big Blue, that defeated the best chess player in the world, Gary Kasparov, a few
years ago. The argument of Kurzweil's book is that this chess prowess is just the opening
gambit of an expanding machine assault on the experience and the claim of the human beings
to be mentally superior, and so to be the chosen species. Kurzweil argues that even when
it comes to poetry, by the middle of the next century, the "spiritual machine"
that will then exist will be producing poems that are comparable to that of the best work
of poet laureates in our most cultured societies.
Such a
projection represents a breathtaking kind of re-understanding of the place of human beings
in the universe, and this is true even if it is appreciated that computers are conceived
and sustained by human ingenuity. This prospect of creative and spiritual computers is
accompanied by a variety of unrecognised challenges that will undoubtedly provide the
context, or at least deeply influence the underlying context, within which diplomacy will
be conducted in the future.
Can government
bureaucracies assimilate this transformative technology in a manner that is consistent
with human well-being? Such a response depends on managing other aspects of the global
setting. The nature of these tasks is in dispute. Some have suggested that only by
stabilising the world population can we keep the planet sustainable over the period of the
next century or so. Others suggest that only by eliminating or greatly mitigating the
institution of war as the decisive mode of conflict resolution can we cope with such an
interconnected planet that has such extraordinary capabilities to inflict destruction with
precision. Still others suggest that this kind of globalisation can only remain stable if
it addresses the gross inequalities and disparities that exist among the distinct peoples
of the world. And others contend that it is only by rediscovering our spiritual roots can
we hope to avoid what amounts to a collective mental breakdown in the face of a technology
that transcends human capabilities. In effect, society is confronted by a spiritual
challenge as much as it is with political and economic challenges arising from this new
dimension of human experience.
And so, when we
think about knowledge and knowledge deployment in relation to diplomacy we should not
treat these inquiries as being merely technical matters of learning how to master the
appropriate skills. Every form of knowledge needs to be interrogated and evaluated in
terms of its social, economic, political, and cultural effects. At this stage it is
especially important to understand who is controlling these new forms of knowledge and for
what purposes. Without this deeper interrogation of IT we are likely to become subject to
some very regressive forces of control during this transition.
In this spirit
of critical inquiry it is important to recognise that there are at least three dark sides
to the advent of this era of globalisation. The first, which I have already referred to in
passing, is the emergence of what is being called the "fourth world", that is,
the societal domain constituted by those individuals, peoples and societies that are being
excluded from participation in the positive benefits of globalisation as a consequence of
their marginalisation by the operation of market-driven logic. In other words,
globalisation as we now understand it, as it functions, is reshaping the social structure
of the world as a result of "the discipline of global capital". A major
component of this discipline of global capital is to make profitable use of information
technology. Those that are not able to make this profitable use find themselves situated
in the fourth world. Much of Sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean, many of those who do
unskilled work around the world, find themselves belonging, generally unwillingly, to this
new classificatory zone of a fourth world. So we must ensure that what the World Economic
Forum director described as the social repercussions of globalisation are being addressed
as seriously as are the technical potentialities of IT.
Secondly, it is
important to consider the implications of information technology for new forms of warfare,
especially for those that have a one-sided character that has in my view some extremely
disturbing features. The Gulf War was the first expression of this hyper-modern one-sided
kind of warfare where those that control IT can choose the means by which they inflict
suffering on others, pain and devastation, without exposing themselves to retaliation, or
without at least risking retaliation in a comparable form. The leaders of the American
military establishment are now planning for wars in the future that are described as
"zero casualty" wars: that is, zero casualties for the high tech side, but
unlimited vulnerability to devastation by a low tech adversary. There is another
expression that is now emerging in this domain among war planners, which is
"asymmetric warfare". The extraordinary inequality among states with
differential access to IT that is emerging and is well depicted by James Adams in his book
The Next World War. Computers are the core of these new weapons systems and the
battlefield can be anywhere. One of the implications of one-sided warfare is that it
begets violence that resembles the structure of torture carried out on a large scale. If
you reflect on the nature of torture you realize, that above all, it involves inflicting
one-sided pain on the victim with the perpetrator deciding what form of pain and at what
level, what intensity, and acting without any anxiety that the victim can strike back. It
is a non-reciprocal relationship in the context of life and death situations. In this new
type of warfare that we are entering by way of IT, we are adapting warfare to the
structure of torture. This is very bad not only for the victim, but also for the
perpetrator. It creates a very dubious moral relationship to the use of force, which is
always, to begin with, dubious, but it seems to me that prior doubts are greatly
intensified. The NATO war of 1999 in response to the troubles in Kosovo provides grim
confirmation for these concerns.
But there is a
further element that is also disturbing in its impact. The very structure of this
technological asymmetry invites violent retaliation in a different modality, but also
devastating. It is no accident that international terrorism has emerged as such a threat
at the same moment historically as IT. Or that anxieties about biological weaponry and
chemical weaponry are rising in an unprecedented manner in the United States and
elsewhere, suddenly creating a societal feeling of acute vulnerability that has rarely
existed during the cold war except during crises when the real danger of a catastrophic
nuclear war became apparent. President Clinton, perhaps to divert attention from his
impeachment turmoil, has also been involved in what might be described as a hysterical
preparation for meeting these challenges of terrorism and biological warfare. It needs to
be realized that such preparation poses a serious threat to democratic society. To protect
against these alleged challenges it is contended that extensive control needs to be
maintained over hostile social forces. Such a requirement provides justification for
continuous and pervasive intelligence operations against your own society and in relation
to those who might be seeking to penetrate it. So there is a new rationale for what might
be called total intelligence. The US military establishment is now proposing for the first
time in American history the creation of a US military command to operate in country. In
the past the role of the military has always been conceived as confined to conflict
external to the country. To address this internal dimension of national security becomes
natural if the main challenges are no longer to be spatially identified as external. It is
evident that hidden within the wonders of this information technology are some very
menacing nightmares associated with its misappropriation and with anticipated backlash
behaviour by those with the unequal access to its capabilities.
There is also a
fairly widely shared sense that a market-driven globalisation is not necessarily providing
the path to human betterment, especially for economically disadvantaged societies. One
danger is the link between government and IT, but another danger is the link between the
market and IT in a political climate that lacks social equilibrium. If you think
historically, the Industrial Revolution ushered in an era of cruelty to the relations
between the market and society, fictionalised by Charles Dickens in the early nineteenth
century: child labour, long hours, no safety, capitalist greed. It was only with the
emergence of labour movement that it became possible to achieve some social equilibrium,
allowing capitalism to acquire a human face in the industrialised era. In other words,
capitalism needed the threat of socialism as an alternative political project in order to
avoid many of its cruel potentialities.
We have to ask
the question now, can we imagine this kind of social equilibrium in relation to a
globalising capitalist economy? Organised labour can no longer play such a role. It is too
weak relative to business and finance. In addition, socialism has effectively collapsed as
an alternative ideology. What, then, now challenges the cruel side of capitalism and
encourages moves toward a new compassionate capitalism? Or as the World Economic Forum
director put it in 1999, "globalisation with a human face". The fact that people
are even talking in this way in business arenas expresses some recognition of the
underlying problem. I doubt, however, that voluntary adjustment will be effective. Some
degree of social pressure is needed. Can it be mounted by the activist side of global
civil society? Greenpeace has been effective in organizing consumer boycotts against even
the largest multinational corporations. Consumer power seems to be hurting companies such
as Nike that are alleged to be running sweatshops in unregulated Third World settings. Can
such initiatives be organized in such a way as to provide a counterweight to business and
finance?
Let me end
these remarks with a few comments about some of the brighter sides of this revolutionary
development. Aside from the obvious reality that for the first time in human history the
entire planet has the potential access to the entire corpus of valuable information, that
is, virtually, all that exists, there is a decentralising and democratising potentiality
present. So far the Internet has avoided being fully appropriated by the market. Its
knowledge-generating propensities have remained a free resource. This is an amazing
dimension of our world. The struggle to keep this resource, this emancipating knowledge,
from being appropriated by the market is, I think, of extraordinary importance. How do we
keep IT free? How do we keep IT in the public domain? And unless I am very wrong about the
acquisitive disposition of the market, it will not be kept in the public domain without a
very vigorous social struggle. There is too much rent-seeking wealth at stake. But if we
do succeed, and if projects such as the project of the Mediterranean Academy do succeed,
then one has a levelling of the playing field of diplomacy throughout the world which will
open exciting potentialities for intercultural and intercivilisational collaboration of a
much more meaningful sort than has ever existed in the past.
A second very,
I think, hopeful development is that the Asian crisis and its reverberations in Japan,
Latin America and Russia has removed the false euphoria from globalisation. It has led
individuals such as Smadga, the World Economic Forum architect and manager, to talk in a
new way about something other than a market logic. I think there is now emerging, as
knowledge, the sense that the social dimensions of globalisation cannot be left entirely
to the market, that the invisible hand is a deformed part of the body politic that moves
to correct distortions far too slowly, if at all. We cannot responsibly rely on the
automatic effects of economic growth to provide human well-being and to maintain stability
and progress for the planet. We require a form of global governance that also is concerned
with how to deal with poverty, with economic deprivation, joblessness, with fluctuations
in the world financial markets, in other words, that tries to incorporate the lessons of
the Asian Financial Crisis into a new structure of authority for the world.
And finally, in
terms of hopeful developments and trends, are these series of elections in Europe and
elsewhere that have moved against a neo-liberal orientation towards political leadership.
The last wave of social democratic victories in a series of European countries are partly
a backlash against the economistic approach to globalisation. It is not clear that these
new social democratic leaderships will be able to cope with the discipline of global
capitalism, or whether their policies will be much different than the governments they
have replaced. Indeed, the forced resignation of Oskar Lafontaine raises doubts on these
scores. But such electoral outcomes do send a message to the leadership of the world that
citizens in democracies are expecting more than capital-driven politics at the level of
the state, that adjustments by the state to globalisation need to do more than
facilitating business and finance. In effect, these elections are a call to establish a
new equilibrium between the needs of peoples and the aspirations of citizens and the logic
of capital and growth. Whether or not this equilibrium can be found in the coming years,
will, I think, determine whether the future of globalisation will be stable or will give
rise to very deep new patterns of social and political conflict that are certain to have
far-reaching implications.
I want to close
by saying that it seems to me that we are genuinely, not just as a cliché, but genuinely,
at a crossroads in human experience that will establish the crucial context for the
diplomacy of the next century. The question is whether we have the imagination, as well as
the skill to cope with this revolutionary technology, and can realize the promise that it
contains while coping with the dangers that it brings to our world. Whether we can manage
such a transition is a challenge of great magnitude that very few generations have faced.
It is a challenge that we are only beginning to depict and understand. Surely we are
living in "interesting times" but whether such an experience will prove a curse
rather than a blessing remains to be seen! |